© 2000 Todd Neller.  A.I.M.A. text figures © 1995 Prentice Hall.  Used by permission.
Relative Likelihood
•Now suppose we don't know the probability of a stiff neck, but we do know:
–the probability of whiplash P(W) = (1/1000)
–the probability of a stiff neck given whiplash P(S|W) = 0.8
•What is the relative likelihood of meningitis and whiplash given a stiff neck?
•Write Bayes' Rule for each and write P(M|S)/P(W|S)