•Now suppose we don't
know the probability of a stiff neck,
but we do know:
–the probability of
whiplash P(W) = (1/1000)
–the probability of a
stiff neck given whiplash P(S|W) = 0.8
•What is the relative
likelihood of meningitis and whiplash given
a stiff neck?
•Write Bayes' Rule for
each and write P(M|S)/P(W|S)