© 2000 Todd Neller.  A.I.M.A. text figures © 1995 Prentice Hall.  Used by permission.
Identifying Direct Influences
•Let:
–A = Patient has metastatic cancer
–B = Patient has increased total serum calcium
–C = Patient has a brain tumor
–D = Patient lapses occasionally into coma
–E = Patient has a severe headache
•What are the direct causal links between these variables?
"Metastatic cancer is a possible cause of a brain tumor and is also an explanation for increased total serum calcium.  In turn, either of these could explain a patient falling into a coma.  Severe headache is also possible associated with a brain tumor."
•Draw the belief net.